Saturday, March 17, 2007

Belarus is to Russia, as RP is to the US

Ganyan yan eh. Ninakaw ni Arroyo at Garci ang presidential elections sa Pilipinas noong 2004. Ninakaw rin ng current "president" Lukashenko ang presidential elections sa Belarus noong 2006.

The difference though is that sinuportahan ng US si Arroyo kahit na nandaya siya, while the US supported the Belarusian Opposition vs. Lukashenko.

Bakit ganon?

Kasi, naging pro-US ulit si Arroyo after the hello garci tapes surfaced. tinigil na niya ang china card.

Sa Belarus naman, pro-Russia at anti-western si Belarusian president Lukashenko, kaya in-encourage ng US na mag-people power ang Opposition, pero pumalpak ito.

Mahirap matanggal si Lukashenko ay dahil maganda ang relasyon niya sa Russia dati. Russia was propping him up and aiding Belarus with cheap oil and gas, and this has helped the Belarusian "miracle" economy. But that may end soon.

More from the Washington Post:

For years, Russia and Belarus have been bound together by Moscow's provision of cheap energy in return for political loyalty. But the Kremlin appears to have tired of subsidizing Lukashenko, whose government could face an economic crisis brought on by higher energy costs.

The two countries have flirted with the idea of forming a political union, but Russia is interested in absorbing Belarus as a province, while Lukashenko has insisted on a union of equal states, an idea the Kremlin finds ludicrous.

Yan ang istorya ng Belarus at Russia.

Sa atin naman, may konting pagkakaiba. Arroyo needs US aid, support and recognition of her legitimacy to prop up her regime. After screwing the US once in Iraq and playing the china card, arroyo is once again pro-US. Dahil nagkaroon siya ng legitimacy crisis nung lumabas ang hello garci tapes. So the US is back to it's old realist foreign policy, last used during the Marcos era. Support arroyo as long as she protects US interest in the region. Even if her admin's corrupt and abusive, her elections are a farce, and the admin main crooks remain unaccountable. Just like in the old Marcos days.

I think what the US is doing to rebuild Mindanao singlehandedly is great, but the republican foreign policy of "looking the other way" and coddling corrupt and illegitimate rulers like Arroyo is not. can't believe i'm saying this, but thank god for the dems. thank you sen. boxer.

The neocon policy is now dead, djb. the republicans are back to propping up corrupt and illegitimate "pro-US" heads (like arroyo, although i don't know how pro-US would she have become kung hindi lumabas ang garci tapes).

Anyway, tignan nyo ang sinabi ng isang commenter ko na nakatira sa Belarus, commenting on this post.

Ok, I understand the point of all of these articles. You are making a simple point. But I would like to remind you that 83% of Belarus voted AGAINST the opposition. This is not a close race; it is an almost completely unanimous decision. And at most, Milinkevich only received 6% of the vote. And what is more, the reason for this is that the Belarusian opposition doesn't do anything for the country but to complain. In the last two years the president of Belarus has been working to find contracts for Belarusian goods which are not allowed on the open markets do to western sanctions. How many tractors has Milinkevich sold? With all his time in the European hierarchy, why couldn't he sell some potatoes, some potash fertilizer, some manufacturing contracts for Belarusian firms?

You make these wonderful, over simplistic statements, it's all very popular. But really, why must you side blindly with the opposition?

why, doesn't THAT rhetoric sound familiar, eh?

And wasn't that election in 2006 that you were referring to not acceptable to the opposition, the US and the EU dahil nga may dayaan?

2 comments:

john marzan said...

the neocon policy was never real anyway. l

ook at how they transformed musharraf from satan incarnate to war on terror posterboy.



pakistan wasn't part of the neocon policy. it was old school realist policy all the way (supporting dictators and unelected rulers).

(the US also have a "realist" policy in RP too under arroyo.)

but the US didn't have much of a choice because al queda supporting (or used to?) Pakistan already has the "Sunni bomb."

If the US tries to support a coup in pakistan and it fails, like it did in Venezuela with hugo chavez early in the bush admin's first term (kaya galit na galit si chavez kay bush), look out...

but you must be careful about these dems too. clinton spoke a lot about human rights while hundreds of thousands of Iraqi children were dyinh from his economic sanctions.

then blame the world too, because those were UN sanctions, supported UNANIMOUSLY iirc by the security council because saddam at that time didn't comply with WMD disarmament (according to UN, not just the US) after their invasion of kuwait.

john marzan said...

ayan, enrile on why we should not anger the bush administration over the Nicole rape case:

But Enrile said the issue of Smith’s transfer should not even be a cause of alarm. He added that the Philippines has more to lose than gain if it insists on detaining Smith in Philippine custody.

"Now, if we push that, we will have a democratic rupture with America," Enrile said. "Are we ready to confront America on this issue and is it worth our people’s interest to sacrifice the security and the national interest of the country, including maybe our economic interest, in this particular issue. That is a larger consideration to be taken into account."

...

Hinting that the country still needs the joint RP-US Balikatan exercises, Enrile said the government needs to maintain the US as an ally to help the government in protecting the country’s vast coastline and territory. It will be recalled the Enrile served as defense minister under ousted former President Ferdinand Marcos and his successor President Corazon Aquino.

"Besides that, America is our ally. There is an unseen value that is given to them. If there is no America, we will have to spend half of our lives to provide with ourselves with our security umbrella to protect ourselves from our neighbors. We do not have a Navy, the Air Force. We have the ground forces to protect ourselves but that’s all," Enrile said.

Besides the nation’s security concerns, Enrile said the US government greatly helps in uplifting the country’s economy, which may be the more logical reason why the Philippines could not simply reject the US government’s request for Smith’s transfer.

"America is the source of a bigger portion of our economy. Much of our trade is trade with America, we cannot give it out just like that. The source of our economic development, one of the main sources is America," he added.


belarus is to russia, as RP is to the US.